Saturday, August 28, 2010

My official 2010 Emmys Predictions (Updated)

Normally, I don't play the predictions game with the Emmys, but I was asked what shows I thought would win so here we are... There are 19 categories to be determined, split between series, specials and acting.

Typically, the Academy Awards has many predictors for whom will win. With the Emmys, it's a little more up in the air. With that said, here are my official predictions for the 62nd Annual Primetime Emmy Awards (winners marked ***):

SERIES, DRAMA – 60% Confidence
  • Breaking Bad (AMC)
  • Dexter (Showtime)
  • The Good Wife (CBS) – Ultimate dark horse, but unlikely
  • Lost (ABC) – Winner; last season to be nominated, spectacular show
  • ***Mad Men (AMC) – Cast won Emmy; won last two years; I'm not a fan
  • True Blood (HBO)



SERIES, COMEDY – 85% Confidence
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
  • Glee (FOX) – Dark horse, but hour-long shows fail to win category
  • ***Modern Family (ABC) – Critics favorite and likely winner
  • Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
  • The Office (NBC)
  • 30 Rock (NBC)

REALITY-COMPETITION PROGRAM – 95% Confidence
  • The Amazing Race (CBS) – Won since category was created; No. 8? Yep.
  • American Idol (FOX) – Probably Not
  • Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
  • Project Runway (Lifetime)
  • ***Top Chef (Bravo)

MADE FOR TV MOVIE – 60% Confidence
  • Endgame (PBS)
  • Georgia O’Keeffe (Lifetime)
  • Moon Shot (History)
  • The Special Relationship (HBO)
  • ***Temple Grandin (HBO) – Dark horse; movie about autism
  • You Don’t Know Jack (HBO) – Winner; movie about Jack Kevorkian; STRONG acting

MINISERIES – 95% Confidence
  • ***The Pacific (HBO) – Cast won for miniseries
  • Return to Cranford (PBS)

VARIETY, MUSIC OR COMEDY SERIES – 75% Confidence
  • The Colbert Report (Comedy Central) – Already won writing award; the favorite
  • ***The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Comedy Central) – Won the last seven years; No. 8? Probably.
  • Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)
  • Saturday Night Live (NBC) – A great season, but competition is stiff
  • The Tonight Show with Conan O’Brien (NBC) – What a great win this would be!

VARIETY, MUSIC OR COMEDY SPECIAL – 60% Confidence
  • Bill Maher “...But I’m Not Wrong” (HBO)
  • Hope for Haiti Now:A Global Benefit for Earthquake Relief (MTV) – Great show
  • ***Kennedy Center Honors (CBS) – Won last year
  • Robin Williams: Weapons Of Self Destruction (HBO)
  • The 25th Anniversary Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame Concert (HBO)
  • Wanda Sykes: I’ma Be Me (HBO)

ACTOR, DRAMA – 50% Confidence – Almost a toss-up
  • Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights – Nope
  • ***Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad – Won twice, but probably not a third
  • Matthew Fox, Lost – Would be great, but not likely
  • Michael C. Hall, Dexter – Critics (and my friends) love him and the show
  • Jon Hamm, Mad Men – Could win
  • Hugh Laurie, House – For the finale alone... the ultimate winner

ACTRESS, DRAMA – 98% Confidence!
  • Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
  • Glenn Close, Damages
  • Mariska Hargitay, Law & Order: SVU
  • January Jones, Mad Men
  • Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife – Hands down; won the Golden Globe
  • ***Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer – Maybe, but very unlikely

ACTOR, COMEDY – 85% Confidence
  • Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock – Won the last two times, but another win? Maybe
  • Steve Carell, The Office
  • Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm
  • Matthew Morrison, Glee – Possible, but unlikely
  • ***Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory – Easy choice
  • Tony Shalhoub, Monk – Maybe, but probably not

ACTRESS, COMEDY – 75% Confidence
  • Toni Collette, United States Of Tara – Won last year, maybe again
  • ***Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie – Time has come
  • Tina Fey, 30 Rock – Maybe but unlikely
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, The New Adventures Of Old Christine
  • Lea Michele, Glee – Competition is fierce so no chance
  • Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA – 80% Confidence
  • Andre Braugher, Men Of A Certain Age
  • Michael Emerson, Lost – Already won, but could win again
  • Terry O’Quinn, Lost – Already won, but WHAT A PERFORMANCE!!
  • ***Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad – A possibility
  • Martin Short, Damages
  • John Slattery, Mad Men

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA – 60% Confidence
  • Christine Baranski, The Good Wife – Perfect performances week to week
  • Rose Byrne, Damages
  • Sharon Gless, Burn Notice – If Men vs. Wife splits all votes, a likely win
  • Christina Hendricks, Mad Men – Could win the Men vs. Wife contest
  • Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men – Did I mention I don't watch this show? Maybe
  • ***Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife – No showcase episode

SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY – 75% Confidence
  • Ty Burrell, Modern Family
  • Chris Colfer, Glee – Great actor, but not his year
  • Jon Cryer, Two And A Half Men – No
  • Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
  • Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother – Would be great
  • ***Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family – Someone from this show will win; he's winning

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY – 95% Confidence!
  • Julie Bowen, Modern Family
  • Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
  • ***Jane Lynch, Glee – Hands down, but a "Modern Family" lady could ride the wave...
  • Holland Taylor, Two and a Half Men
  • Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
  • Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live

LEAD ACTOR, MINISERIES/MOVIE – 85% Confidence
  • Jeff Bridges, A Dog Year – Too soon for an Emmy after an Oscar? Maybe, but it's possible
  • Ian McKellen, The Prisoner – BIG NAME, GREAT ACTOR, but unlikely
  • ***Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack – Most likely
  • Dennis Quaid, The Special Relationship
  • Michael Sheen, The Special Relationship

LEAD ACTRESS, MINISERIES/MOVIE – 90% Confidence
  • Joan Allen, Georgia O’Keeffe – Probably not...
  • ***Claire Danes, Temple Grandin – Most likely in very tough competition
  • Hope Davis, The Special Relationship
  • Judi Dench, Return to Cranford – Maybe
  • Maggie Smith, Capturing Mary

SUPPORTING ACTOR, MINISERIES/MOVIE – 65% Confidence
  • Michael Gambon, Emma – Could win
  • John Goodman, You Don't Know Jack – Probably will win
  • Jonathan Pryce, Return to Cranford
  • Patrick Stewart, Hamlet – Dark horse
  • ***David Strathairn, Temple Grandin

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, MINISERIES/MOVIE – 65% Confidence
  • Kathy Bates, Alice
  • Catherine O'Hara, Temple Grandin – Possible, but unlikely
  • ***Julia Ormond, Temple Grandin
  • Susan Sarandon, You Don't Know Jack – Great acting, could pull out a win
  • Brenda Vaccaro, You Don't Know Jack – Most likely winner, but competitive category

UPDATE: Successfully predicted 10/19 categories.

Need to print out a ballot? I've got you covered:

Open publication to download

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